I have noticed that from the last time I checked up on AI discourse a few months ago, everyone has seemingly shifted to thinking that AGI and shortly after ASI are foregone conclusions. I don't know much about the internals of the actual field and …

I am a PhD student (not in AI) and am usually alright when it comes to studying a topic I don't know much about. But it seems that because AI is so highly discussed nowadays, it's impossible to get a good gauge of what the rational scholarly co…