 | Based on scaling laws, he has also been consistently predicting AGI timelines of 2028 since 2011 - 14 years ago. That's his median timeline, meaning he thinks there's a 50% chance of AGI by 2028. [link] [comments] |
Predictive technology: computational social science
![[link]](https://i.redd.it/aqiexp3urbnf1.png){kind=link}