"I think there's some chance that it will end humanity. I probably agree with Geoff Hinton that it's about 10 percent or 20 percent or something like that. I think that the probable positive scenario outweighs the negative scenario," he said.
Musk has been worried about AI for a while now. Last November, he said there's a chance AI could turn out bad. Even though he thinks AI should have rules, he started a company called xAI to make AI even better, positioning it as a competitor to OpenAI, a venture he co-founded earlier.
You kind of grow an AGI. It's almost like raising a kid, but one that's like a super genius, like a God-like intelligence kid — and it matters how you raise the kid," Musk said at the Silicon Valley event on March 19, referring to artificial general intelligence. "One of the things I think that's incredibly important for AI safety is to have a maximum sort of truth-seeking and curious AI."
Musk's plan to keep AI safe is simple: make sure AI always tells the truth. He warned against teaching AI to lie because once it starts, it's hard to stop. He talked about a study that says if AI learns to lie, our usual safety rules might not work.
Musk's message is clear, we need to be honest with AI to keep it and us safe. He thinks it's important to remember that honesty is the best policy when it comes to dealing with AI.
During the Summit, Musk said that by 2030, AI will be smarter than people. While he's hopeful about the good things AI can do, he also thinks we need to be careful about the bad stuff it could bring. Musk compared making super-smart AI to raising a really smart kid, saying it's important to teach AI to always tell the truth and be curious.
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